Serko Limited Stock Performance

SERKF Stock  USD 1.08  0.81  42.86%   
The entity has a beta of -0.74, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Serko are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Serko is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Serko Limited has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to validate Serko's total risk alpha, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Serko Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Serko Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow34.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-61.1 M
  

Serko Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  158.00  in Serko Limited on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (50.00) from holding Serko Limited or give up 31.65% of portfolio value over 90 days. Serko Limited is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 6.5107% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 58% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Serko, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Serko is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.49 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

Serko Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Serko Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.08 90 days 1.08 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Serko to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Serko Limited probability density function shows the probability of Serko Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Serko Limited has a beta of -0.74. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Serko are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Serko Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Serko Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Serko Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Serko

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Serko Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.885.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.835.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.895.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.891.891.89
Details

Serko Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Serko is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Serko's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Serko Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Serko within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.74
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Serko Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Serko for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Serko Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Serko Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Serko Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Serko Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Serko Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 17.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.96 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (14.22 M).
Serko Limited has accumulated about 31.5 M in cash with (18.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Serko Fundamentals Growth

Serko Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Serko, and Serko fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Serko Pink Sheet performance.

About Serko Performance

By analyzing Serko's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Serko's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Serko has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Serko has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Serko Limited, a Software-as-a-Service technology business, provides computer software solutions for online travel bookings and expense management in New Zealand, Australia, North America, and internationally. Serko Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand. Serko operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 235 people.

Things to note about Serko Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Serko for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Serko Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Serko Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Serko Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Serko Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Serko Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 17.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.96 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (14.22 M).
Serko Limited has accumulated about 31.5 M in cash with (18.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Serko's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Serko's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Serko's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Serko's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Serko's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Serko's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Serko's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Serko's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Serko's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Serko's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Serko's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Serko Pink Sheet analysis

When running Serko's price analysis, check to measure Serko's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Serko is operating at the current time. Most of Serko's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Serko's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Serko's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Serko to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios